Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.226651 3.581326 3.965493 4.413614 4.923344 5.486686 6.158552
2025-05-11 2.726285 3.204076 3.758206 4.452547 5.305124 6.325299 7.649624
2025-05-18 2.404742 2.946704 3.607747 4.481902 5.620233 7.070037 9.084957
2025-05-25 2.108807 2.667770 3.376493 4.353984 5.687653 7.474026 10.100236
2025-06-01 1.908295 2.480372 3.230161 4.302660 5.827066 7.962573 11.265931
2025-06-08 1.753927 2.334330 3.117509 4.274633 5.980946 8.470943 12.508284
2025-06-15 1.680440 2.288645 3.133059 4.421226 6.391910 9.389048 14.489424
2025-06-22 1.568980 2.178232 3.044507 4.402226 6.545500 9.923512 15.920635
2025-06-29 1.464704 2.068725 2.946184 4.355574 6.645224 10.375002 17.264547
2025-07-06 1.328425 1.901676 2.748594 4.135582 6.441032 10.297590 17.654989
2025-07-13 1.266202 1.840949 2.706794 4.157179 6.633636 10.908439 19.384776
2025-07-20 1.223539 1.806577 2.702167 4.236831 6.929467 11.729170 21.634443
2025-07-27 1.181141 1.771119 2.695257 4.315649 7.238735 12.624552 24.212797
2025-08-03 1.134730 1.726116 2.669499 4.359713 7.489939 13.442754 26.778625
2025-08-10 1.089541 1.679834 2.637769 4.389502 7.716081 14.238077 29.435978
2025-08-17 1.020175 1.589383 2.525501 4.264918 7.633980 14.400936 30.675773
2025-08-24 0.969763 1.527415 2.457438 4.214880 7.690855 14.855195 32.683141
2025-08-31 0.927138 1.476030 2.404154 4.187539 7.789251 15.407988 35.034628
2025-09-07 0.914646 1.475318 2.439484 4.330573 8.249882 16.813753 39.862658
2025-09-14 0.878293 1.430926 2.393640 4.312036 8.368613 17.460496 42.794856
2025-09-21 0.840562 1.382031 2.336538 4.266518 8.424179 17.965967 45.437789
2025-09-28 0.781695 1.292640 2.200075 4.051846 8.088332 17.493018 45.145476
2025-10-05 0.758696 1.266647 2.180043 4.072923 8.281642 18.341447 49.000835